![]() ![]() This is evidenced by the relatively high frequency that they turn out to be suboptimal, sometimes with considerable negative consequences. Because the outcomes of pursuing the various available options tend to be difficult to estimate in advance, making a major life decision is not easy. Starting in adolescence, when individuals are first faced with choosing a career path, individuals make various major life decisions: high-impact decisions that typically involve a large number of options to choose from, with an uncertain outcome. ![]() Our simulation results generate concrete predictions that can be empirically tested and may eventually result in individually tailored tools to aid individuals in making major life decisions. We identify the types of individuals who are at risk of exhibiting ‘maladaptive’ decision dynamics, including ruminative exploration and rash decision making, and conclude that these features often, but not always, lead to bad decisions. in-depth), (2) accuracy in assessing how well options fit, and (3) selectiveness. Using our model, we run a large-scale in silico experiment, systematically simulating how three key individual characteristics affect the choice process and the quality of the decision: (1) exploration tendency (broad vs. We model major life decisions as a process comprising many explorations of available options, resulting in changing commitments, and eventually leading to a decision. Here, we present a simulation model of major life decisions that integrates the short-term perspective of decision science with the long-term perspective of identity theory. This is because major life decisions are not simple short-term weighings of options-they are strongly intertwined with identity development. Although poor major life decisions can lead to considerable costs for both individuals and society, little is known about how people make these decisions. Making such major life decisions is challenging, as is evidenced by substantial rates of divorce and drop-out from higher education. Individuals are faced with a number of major decisions throughout their lives, including the choice of a suitable education, career, and life partner. ![]()
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